🏀 5x5 | Royce Webb
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Latest Entries
We Are Watching Victor Wembanyama Make History — and the Advanced Stats Back It Up
Wemby’s defensive impact puts him among — or above — the most impactful offensive stars
Advanced Stats Say the NBA’s New Era Has Begun. Here’s Who’s Next, From Cade Cunningham’s Pistons to Cooper Flagg
Jokić Is Fading, Luka Is on a Mission: What Impact Metrics Say About the New NBA Season
xRAPM: Up and running for the 2026-27 NBA season
Two weeks into the 2026‑27 NBA season, Royce Webb launches his xRAPM impact metric, explaining its origins, methodology, and utility. He contrasts xRAPM with classic box‑score tools like PER, Win Shares, and SPM, noting how modern tracking data (screen assists, deflections, box‑outs, defender FG% and more) improves defensive evaluation. Webb outlines how plus‑minus stats provide a baseline for weighting actions that truly drive wins. An upcoming follow‑up will apply early xRAPM results to the league’s top stars, revealing who benefits and who falls short.
What Advanced Stats Say: These NBA Players Are on the Rise
Most improved? Here are five players I have my eye on
Coach RAPM: Which NBA Coaches Actually Make Their Teams Better
How my coaching metric works and what the results look like for today's NBA coaches
Ranking the Future of All 30 NBA Franchises
After a wild summer, here are my rankings for every team over the next decade
The Knicks Are Still Underrated — and 11 More Bold Predictions for 2026-27
Here are some surprises I actually expect to see
NBA Predictions: My Take on All 15 East Teams — and the Four I Feel Strongest About
How many games will your favorite team win this season?
16 NBA Takes: The Biggest News of the Summer — and What It All Means
NBA Substack on the league that can’t stop creating headlines
10 Takes: What Jumps Out in the 2026-27 NBA Schedule
NBA Substack on what the schedule release revealed
16 NBA Takes: The Most Fascinating Storylines in the West
NBA Substack on the contenders and controversies in the Western Conference
18 NBA Takes: The Most Fascinating Storylines in the East
NBA Substack on the East's epic offseason and what happens now
Vegas Reshuffled the 2026 Top 4 Rookies — and My Entire NBA Big Board
What we learned from Las Vegas Summer League, and how it changes my projections for this NBA draft class
NBA Summer League, Part 2: The Hits, the Misses, the Question Marks
Evaluating 11 rookies in Vegas, from lottery picks to late first-round sleepers
NBA Summer League: My First-Hand Impressions of the Top Draft Picks
Breaking down 12 of the top prospects, with stats and video
That’s Gonna Cost You — Featuring Trae, Jaylen Brown, the Lakers, Plus 4 More
Seven NBA deals that didn't make a lot of sense to me
Jeremias Engelmann's Jaylen Brown essay was the most-read story on the Boston Globe
Check out the Globe piece — and the 5x5 original
NBA Steals of the Summer — 13 Deals the Numbers Say Are Bargains
Here are the deals that impressed me this summer
The Numbers Say the Lakers Are Very Ordinary — Unless Walker Kessler Breaks Out
Big acquisitions offset by painful departures
The Jaylen Brown Trade — The Celtics Bet on Analytics, while the Sixers Bet on Old-School Basketball
Why the consensus might be wrong
Analytics vs. Jaylen Brown
As a debate rages, let's look at Brown's impact
Miami Smashed the Giannis Trade — and Boston Should Sell High on Jaylen Brown While It Can
A new powerhouse in the East, and a big Celtics trade that needs to happen now
7 Teams That Made the BEST, WORST & MOST CONFUSING Picks at the NBA Draft
My favorite and least favorite NBA draft picks
NBA Draft Best Fits: Who Your Team *Should* Take Tuesday — and Plan B if He's Gone
Best Player Available? Best Fit? Here's how I'd play the first round, team by team
My FINAL NBA Draft Big Board: Who I'm Buying, Who I'm Fading, and the Lottery Pick I Don't Believe In
Ranking the top 30 NBA draft prospects: From the stars to the likely busts