Sharp Football Analysis
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SEC Win Totals 2026: Odds, Picks, Predictions & Best Bets
2026 SEC Win Totals The 2026 College Football season is right around the corner, which means it is time to start looking for the best SEC win total bets for the upcoming season. Check out the rest of the series for my favorite college football picks for the 2026 season: [...]
2026 NFL Running Back Prop Bets: Best Overs to Target
2026 NFL Overs: Best Running Back Prop Bets David Montgomery -- Over 825.5 Rushing Yards (-114) David Montgomery -- Over 7.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-102) Chase Brown -- Over 824.5 Rushing Yards (-110) Chase Brown -- Over 5.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-125) 2026 NFL Longshot Running Back Prop Bets David Montgomery Touchdown Ladder 10+ Touchdowns (+195) 12+ [...]
2026 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: How to Draft QBs
Everything this offseason has built up to this point, when I release my strategy for drafting quarterbacks in 2026 fantasy football drafts. With the 2026 Draft Kit in place as a North Star for how to play the game of fantasy football, I also know some of you are here because you want to know [...]
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NFL Offensive Personnel Usage, All 32 Teams
What personnel packages do NFL offenses use the most? The table below tracks how often all 32 teams line up in 11, 12, 13, 21, and 22 personnel, and what each grouping is actually worth per play. Filter by season, week, down, field zone, score margin, or play type to isolate the situations you care [...]
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Warren Sharp’s 2026 Football Preview: Bears Free Chapter
Warren Sharp's new book, 2026 Football Preview, is now available for purchase. At over 600 pages, this book is filled with everything this franchise has delivered over the last 11 NFL seasons. It is jam-packed with insights and analysis into players, coaches, teams, and philosophies with one goal: To prepare you for the 2026 NFL season [...]
2026 Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule
The 2026 fantasy football strength of schedule rankings below break down which passing and rushing attacks have the easiest path to fantasy points this season, both for the full season and the fantasy playoffs. There is no perfect way to determine strength of schedule for the upcoming season. Some are much better than others - [...]
2026 TE Fantasy Football ADP: Analyzing Historical Trends
As part of our 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, let's take a look at tight end ADP using a historical lens to identify any trends that can help in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Every year, we have nearly eight full months to prepare for the draft, but just how good are we at setting the [...]
2026 WR Fantasy Football ADP: Analyzing Historical Trends
As part of our 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, let's take a look at wide receiver ADP using a historical lens to identify any trends that can help in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Every year, we have nearly eight full months to prepare for the draft, but just how good are we at setting the [...]
2026 QB Fantasy Football ADP: Analyzing Historical Trends
As part of our 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, let's take a look at quarterback ADP using a historical lens to identify any trends that can help in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Every year, we have nearly eight full months to prepare for the draft, but just how good are we at setting the market [...]
2026 RB Fantasy Football ADP: Analyzing Historical Trends
As part of our 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, let's take a look at running back ADP using a historical lens to identify any trends that can help in 2026 fantasy football drafts. Every year, we have nearly eight full months to prepare for the draft, but just how good are we at setting the [...]
Joe Burrow Under Center Stats: A Potential 2026 Red Flag?
Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks [...]
Why the Seahawks Could Miss the Playoffs in 2026
It appears there is an infinite-money glitch many NFL fans are not taking advantage of, at least based on my recent appearance on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. At the very end of my 20-minute interview, when asked about the Seahawks, I expressed the possibility that the defending Super Bowl Champions are not a sure-fire, [...]
NFL Implied Team Totals: 2026 Projected Points Tool
Implied team totals taken from Vegas lines offer a nice shortcut for fantasy managers trying to identify the highest-scoring teams every week of the NFL season. We can also use those lines to identify the teams that oddsmakers expect to score the most and fewest points in the 2026 NFL season. More importantly for fantasy [...]
NFL Red-Zone Stats Vs. Expectation: Quarterbacks
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into quarterback red-zone performance. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season while also gauging league trends. [...]
NFL Red-Zone Stats Vs. Expectation: Tight Ends
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into tight end red-zone performance. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season while also gauging league [...]
NFL Red-Zone Stats Vs. Expectation: Wide Receivers
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into wide receiver red-zone performance. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season while also gauging league trends. [...]
NFL Red-Zone Stats Vs. Expectation: Running Backs
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into running back red-zone performance. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season while also gauging league [...]
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2026 NFC Odds: Conference Winner Predictions & Sleeper Bets
The NFC championship race for 2026 is wide open, with perennial contenders facing fresh challengers. We break down every NFC team's odds to win the conference, identify the chalk plays, value bets, and sleeper picks that could deliver massive returns for savvy bettors heading into next season. Last Updated: July 28 NFC Prediction: 2026 Winner [...]
NFL Passing vs. Rushing Touchdown Splits for 2026 Fantasy
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into passing vs. rushing touchdown rates for all 32 NFL teams. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the [...]
Yards Per Touchdown: NFL Touchdown Regression for 2026
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into how well NFL teams converted yards into touchdowns. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season [...]
NFL Team Red-Zone Performance & 2026 Regression Candidates
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into team red-zone performance. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate into the upcoming season while also gauging league trends. [...]
NFL Team Scoring Per Drive & 2026 Regression Candidates
Every offseason, I break down the NFL offensive trends that will shape the upcoming season, including a deep dive into team performance per possession and potential regression notes for the 2026 season. The goal for these articles is straightforward. We are monitoring the league's current state to identify any outliers, which we can then incorporate [...]
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